Allan J. Lichtman, the American University historian who predicted the outcome of virtually all recent U.S. elections and became famous when he accurately forecast — against what pollsters were saying — that Donald Trump would win in 2016, has predicted that Kamala Harris will win the 2026 election.

Since he started announcing his forecasts 20 years ago, he was right in nine of the last 10 elections. He says he was actually right in all 10 of them, because the 2000 election was atypical: his pick, Al Gore, won the popular vote, but the Supreme Court gave the election to George W. Bush.

That is his prediction.  However he adds, “the outcome it up to you, so get out and vote!”

See the NY Times seven-minute video that explains his unusual prediction model.

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